Thursday, August 29, 2013

Looks like the Libertarian candidate in Virginia will help the Democrat win the governor's race

More proof why a three-party political system always benefits the Democrats. In Virginia, in the race for governor, the Democrat is ahead of the Republican and the Libertarian candidate is becoming the spoiler. Where would Democrat Terry McAuliffe's campaign be in the polls if it were not for the Libertarian candidate Robert Sarvis pulling 9%? The Republican candidate, Virginia Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli, is currently polling at 37% according to Public Policy Polling while the Democrat leads with 44% in the polls. But what would the race look like if it were just a two party race between a Democrat and a Republican running against each other? Do the math, assuming no Libertarian would vote for a Democrat then their only choice is either stay home or vote for the Republican; 37% + 9% = 46%. If not actually taking the lead, the polls would make them neck and neck.
The Washington Examiner reports:
As the two candidates in Virginia's governor's race enter the final stretch this fall, it is starting to look like it's Democrat Terry McAuliffe's to lose.

A Public Policy Polling survey of 500 likely voters just released has the former Democratic Party boss seven points up over GOP challenger Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli. That's a one point gain over a Quinnipiac University poll released last week and a three point gain over a similar PPP poll from last month.

In the new PPP poll, 44 percent support McAuliffe, 37 percent Cuccinelli, 9 percent libertarian Robert Sarvis and 9 percent are undecided.
UPDATE: Sept. 4, 2013
And agrees with this.

Libertarian With Little Money Could Spoil Cuccinelli Campaign

Robert Sarvis is a well spoken, highly educated 36 year old with little money and a thin resume of professional accomplishments. He is also the Libertarian candidate for governor of Virginia. Though he has only spent $40,000 compared to the combined $20 million of the two major party candidates, Republican Ken Cuccinelli and Democrat Terry McAuliffe, polling that includes him as an option for voters shows that he could obtain 5% to 10% of the vote.

Support for Sarvis comes at the expense of Republican Ken Cuccinelli, who trails Democrat McAuliffe in recent polls by six points in the Quinnipiac Polls head to head matchup (48 % to 42%)  and  seven points (44% to 37%) in the PPP poll when Sarvis is included. Sarvis wins 9% of the vote, 5% coming from Cuccinelli supporters, and 4% coming from McAuliffe supporters.


  1. Read the crosstabs, he is pulling more from Democrats and is mostly backed by independents.

    1. If you've read this blog for awhile you would know why I am against third-party candidates. To save you the trouble of looking it up here are a few posts.
      Wednesday, November 7, 2012
      Some truth and some lies from the Libertarian Party.
      Saturday, January 16, 2010
      Will the Libertarian candidate in Massachusetts become the spoiler?
      Friday, October 26, 2012
      Stupid is as stupid does: How the Libertarians and pseudo-conservative Ron Paul-bots are helping Barack Hussein Obama.


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